Un crime électoral a été perpétré en Iran, selon Juan Cole, spécialiste du Moyen-Orient. Il présente les pièces à conviction dans ce billet dont je cite un extrait dans le texte :
1. It is claimed that Ahmadinejad won the city of Tabriz with 57%. His main opponent, Mir Hossein Mousavi, is an Azeri from Azerbaijan province, of which Tabriz is the capital. Mousavi, according to such polls as exist in Iran and widespread anecdotal evidence, did better in cities and is popular in Azerbaijan. Certainly, his rallies there were very well attended. So for an Azeri urban center to go so heavily for Ahmadinejad just makes no sense. In past elections, Azeris voted disproportionately for even minor presidential candidates who hailed from that province.
2. Ahmadinejad is claimed to have taken Tehran by over 50%. Again, he is not popular in the cities, even, as he claims, in the poor neighborhoods, in part because his policies have produced high inflation and high unemployment. That he should have won Tehran is so unlikely as to raise real questions about these numbers.
Je pense qu'il faut lire le reste pour se faire une idée de la crédibilité de Cole.
P.S. : Gary Sick, spécialiste de l'Iran, offre cette analyse sur ce qu'il appelle un «coup politique» en Iran.
P.P.S. : Selon la journaliste de l'hebdomadaire The New Yorker Laura Secor, qui a effectué de nombreux reportages en Iran, il n'y a pas de doute: l'élection présidentielle a été volée.
(Photo Reuters)